How many survive?

I'm often asked how many Jensen cars survive and that's a tough question to answer because obviously not everyone who owns a Jensen tells me about it.

I use rolling five-year averages to estimate the survival rate. I figure that, if I haven't heard about a car in the last five years, it's no longer safe to assume it's still around. Maybe it is; maybe it isn't. Conversely, if I have heard about a car sometime during the past five years, then I'm assuming the worst hasn't happened yet and it's still in one piece somewhere.

I track cars all over the world and I'm always interested in hearing about those which survive or are scrapped. Based on that tracking, here are the tallies of known survivors among the different Jensen models in the trailing five, ten, fifteen and twenty-year periods dating back to 1988. Included for comparison is a tally of all cars known as broken, either definitely or very probably.

Based on the production totals (for those, go here), the corresponding survival and demised rates for these periods are as follows:

Compared with last year, the figures are essentially no different, statistically speaking. Overall, the rate of cars known to survive at some point in the past 20 years has declined by one percentage point to 37 percent, but the previous year it rose by one point so it seems to be settling where it is. As a group, the Healeys remain the most under-represented by a big margin with a recorded survival rate over the past five years of just 8 percent. 

Although the estimate of the long term survival rate seems stable, the actual number of survivors can only be falling. Rust never sleeps and every year more cars succumb to the tin worm, are broken for spares or are lost in accidents. To date, I have tracked 508 Jensens by chassis number (2.7% of the production) as having been broken, either definitely or very probably. This is one statistic which keeps rising steadily. To compare, the tally of broken cars last year stood at 498. In the preceding years it was 484, 416, 379 and 315. 

This year, I have included the actual numbers of the different models known to have been broken, either definitely or very probably, together with the percentages of production which these numbers represent. I am quite sure that Healeys have been broken in large numbers, particularly as the indicated breaking rate for the GT is three times that of the Healeys (I should think it would be the other way around). Probably the Interceptor Is and IIs have been broken in large numbers too but without accurate figures I cannot substantiate this. Obviously, there is a big middle ground between the 2.7% known as broken overall and the 24% known to survive in the past ten years. It means we have a long way to go in finding out what happened to the others.

If I don't hear about cars, I don't record them. If I ask for information and don't get it, the stats reflect this. Hence my regular appeals to those who like to see survival statistics made as accurate as possible. If you have a Jensen, I'd like to hear about it, at least once every five years. If you see a car going to the scrap heap, get the VIN and pass it on so that we know what happened. If you have a spare engine lying around, or a piece of trim with a chassis number crayoned on the back, get the number and pass that on as well because then we'll have a link to another car which has probably been broken. 

I update this list of survivors towards the end of each year so be sure to check back and see how we're doing.

Where are they likely to be?

Give or take a handful, something like 18,976 Jensen cars were made between 1935 and 1992. The vast majority — 91 per cent — were sold in North America and Britain.

The "rest of world" category includes all destinations with less than 1% of the total. There are approximately 50 of these smaller markets so, if you're looking for a Jensen, North America and Britain are the best places to be. To narrow it down further, about half the cars which went to the USA were sold in California. This means that a quarter of all Jensen cars — most of them Healeys — went to that one State. I wonder how many have been junked.

To the end of 2007, I've traced 4509 survivors at some point in the past ten years, down by 30 on the trailing period last year. By continent or geographic region, this is where they are now:

Special note for Interceptor III owners

If your 1975 or 1976 Interceptor has one of the following serial numbers, I'd be especially interested to hear from you. This is because the factory papers on these cars are pretty thin and I need your help to fill out the history. All but four or five of these were exported so they could conceivably be anywhere by now. The VINs in question are:

1402, 1650, 1791, 1813, 1820, 1846, 1871, 1873, 1874, 1900, 1903, 1906, 1920, 1922, 1938, 1946, 1949, 1996

Model histories

For more on the individual models mentioned above, have a look in the histories guide.

Richard Calver

© Richard Calver 2000–2008

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