How many survive?

I'm often asked how many Jensen cars survive and that's a tough question to answer because obviously not everyone who owns a Jensen tells me about it.

I use rolling five-year averages to estimate the survival rate. I figure that, if I haven't heard about a car in the last five years, it's no longer safe to assume it's still around. Maybe it is; maybe it isn't. Conversely, if I have heard about a car sometime during the past five years, then I'm assuming the worst hasn't happened yet and it's still in one piece somewhere.

I track cars all over the world and I'm always interested in hearing about those which survive or are scrapped. Based on that tracking, here are the tallies of known survivors among the different Jensen models in the trailing five, ten, fifteen and twenty-year periods dating back to 1990. Included for comparison is a tally of all cars known as broken, either definitely or very probably.

JENSEN MODEL SURVIVORS SURVIVORS SURVIVORS SURVIVORS DEMISED
  2005–2009 2000–2009 1995–2009 1990–2009 all known
Interceptor 6-cyl 28 32 38 44 3
541 123 291 336 392 11
C-V8 225 291 311 349 11
Interceptor I 164 252 404 428 55
Interceptor II 226 346 482 515 52
Interceptor III 640 1027 1720 1855 97
Coupé 17 27 37 40 0
Convertible 171 228 304 330 3
SP 61 78 122 129 15
FF 127 182 215 245 19
Healey Mk 1 250 454 630 735 69
Healey Mk 2 526 1011 1395 1625 159
GT 86 179 206 234 34
TOTAL 2644 4398 6200 6921 528

Based on the production totals (for those, go here), the corresponding survival and demised rates for these periods are as follows:

JENSEN MODEL

SURVIVORS

SURVIVORS

SURVIVORS

SURVIVORS

DEMISED
  2005–2009 2000–2009 1995–2009 1990–2009 all known
Interceptor 6-cyl 32% 36% 43% 50% 3%
541 23% 53% 62% 72% 2%
C-V8 45% 58% 62% 70% 2%
Interceptor I 16% 25% 39% 42% 5%
Interceptor II 20% 31% 43% 46% 5%
Interceptor III 18% 30% 50% 54% 3%
Coupé 36% 57% 79% 85% 0%
Convertible 33% 44% 59% 64% 6%
SP 26% 34% 53% 56% 6%
FF 40% 57% 67% 77% 6%
Healey Mk 1 7% 14% 19% 22% 2%
Healey Mk 2 7% 14% 20% 23% 2%
GT 17% 35% 40% 46% 7%
AVERAGE 14% 23% 33% 37% 3%

Compared with last year, the figures are essentially no different, statistically speaking. There has been a big fillip in the 5-year tally of C-V8s thanks largely to the efforts of the JOC Registrar in attempting to find the survivors. Overall, the rate of Jensen cars known to survive at some point in the past 20 years is stable at around the 37% mark. As a group, the Healeys remain the most under-represented with a recorded survival rate over the past five years of just 7%. 

Although the estimate of the long term survival rate seems stable, the actual number of survivors can only be falling. Rust never sleeps and every year more cars succumb to the tin worm, are broken for spares or are lost in accidents. To date, I have tracked 528 Jensens by chassis number (2.8% of the production) as having been broken, either definitely or very probably. This is one statistic which keeps rising steadily. To compare, the tally of broken cars last year stood at 517. In the preceding years it was 508, 498, 484, 416, 379 and 315. 

Once again, I have included the actual numbers of the different models known to have been broken, either definitely or very probably, together with the percentages of production which these numbers represent. I am quite sure that Healeys have been broken in large numbers, particularly as the indicated breaking rate for the GT is more than three times that of the Healeys (I should think it would be the other way around). Probably the Interceptor Is and IIs have been broken in large numbers too but without accurate figures I cannot substantiate this. Obviously, there is a big middle ground between the 2.8% known as broken overall and the 23% known to survive in the past ten years. It means we have a long way to go in finding out what happened to the others.

If I don't hear about cars, I don't record them. If I ask for information and don't get it, the stats reflect this. Hence my regular appeals to those who like to see survival statistics made as accurate as possible. If you have a Jensen, I'd like to hear about it, at least once every five years. If you see a car going to the scrap heap, get the VIN and pass it on so that we know what happened. If you have a spare engine lying around, or a piece of trim with a chassis number crayoned on the back, get the number and pass that on as well because then we'll have a link to another car which has probably been broken. 

I update this list of survivors towards the end of each year so be sure to check back and see how we're doing.

Where are they likely to be?

Give or take a handful, something like 18,976 Jensen cars were made between 1935 and 1992. The vast majority — 91 per cent — were sold in North America and Britain.

MARKET AREA SHARE OF TOTAL
United States 50.1%
United Kingdom 38.4%
Canada 2.2%
Australia 1.8%
Switzerland 1.0%
Rest of world 6.5%
TOTAL 100.0%

The "rest of world" category includes all destinations with less than 1% of the total. There are approximately 50 of these smaller markets so, if you're looking for a Jensen, North America and Britain are the best places to be. To narrow it down further, about half the cars which went to the USA were sold in California. This means that a quarter of all Jensen cars — most of them Healeys — went to that one State. I wonder how many have been junked.

To the end of 2009, I've traced 4398 survivors at some point in the past ten years, down by about 20 on the trailing period last year. By continent or geographic region, this is where they are now:

REGION SHARE OF TOTAL
United Kingdom 42%
Americas 35%
Australasia-Pacific 12%
Continental Europe 11%
Others negligible
TOTAL 100%

Special note for Interceptor III owners

If your 1975 or 1976 Interceptor has one of the following serial numbers, I'd be especially interested to hear from you. This is because the factory papers on these cars are pretty thin and I need your help to fill out the history. All but four or five of these were exported so they could conceivably be anywhere by now. The VINs in question are:

1402, 1650, 1791, 1813, 1820, 1846, 1871, 1873, 1874, 1900, 1903, 1906, 1920, 1922, 1938, 1946, 1949, 1996

Model histories

For more on the individual models mentioned above, have a look in the histories guide.

 

Richard Calver

© Richard Calver 2000–2009

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